January 26, 2012

Romney tops FL primary in latest polling -- Walker leads recall match-ups -- Presidential rating comparisons

YOUR DAILY POLLING UPDATE

OBAMA APPROVAL AVERAGE: 46%
(no change from yesterday; no change from a week ago)

HISTORIC COMPARISONS

Carter at this point: 58%
Reagan at this point: 55%
Clinton at this point: 52%
Bush 43 at this point: 49%
Bush 41 at this point: 47%

FLORIDA: GOP PRIMARY*

Clarus average:

Romney 37% (up 3)
Gingrich 33% (down 1)
Santorum 10% (down 1)
Paul 8% (down 1)

Insider Advantage (Jan. 25):

Romney 40%
Gingrich 32%
Paul 9%
Santorum 8%

Rasmussen poll (Jan. 25):

Romney 39%
Gingrich 31%
Santorum 12%
Paul 9%

CNN/Time poll (Jan. 22-24):

Romney 36%
Gingrich 34%
Santorum 11%
Paul 9%

FL Chamber of Commerce (Jan. 22-23):

Romney 33%
Gingrich 33%
Santorum 10%
Paul 6%

FLORIDA: GENERAL ELECTION**

Obama and Romney even
Obama over Paul +8
Obama over Santorum +9
Obama over Gingrich +11

Obama's vote percentage: 45-50%. In 2008, he won Florida with 51%.

WISCONSIN***

2012 General Election:

Obama over Romney +8

Governor Recall Election:

Gov. Scott Walker (R) 49% over David Obey (D) 43%
Gov. Walker (R) 50% over Tom Barrett (D) 44%
Gov. Walker (R) 49% over Kathleen Falk (D) 42%
Gov. Walker (R) 50% over Tim Cullen (D) 40%

SOURCES:
Presidential job rating: average of the three most recently reported nationwide polls.
Historic comparisons: based on nearest chronological data points from Gallup surveys.
* Average of the four most recently reported polls in Florida. The last Clarus average was published on Jan. 25.
** Quinnipiac, Jan. 19-23
*** Marquette Univ., Jan. 19-22